Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.603939 0.675746 0.753628 0.844528 0.947897 1.062007 1.197813
2025-02-16 0.495011 0.593269 0.708338 0.853694 1.033322 1.249191 1.530011
2025-02-23 0.438838 0.549609 0.685909 0.867231 1.104019 1.405339 1.821951
2025-03-02 0.384303 0.498452 0.644574 0.847263 1.124149 1.493522 2.030899
2025-03-09 0.355006 0.474893 0.633832 0.862694 1.188294 1.641717 2.333006
2025-03-16 0.323132 0.443824 0.608716 0.853955 1.215434 1.738197 2.569050
2025-03-23 0.301529 0.424373 0.596946 0.861470 1.264563 1.868721 2.867836
2025-03-30 0.277472 0.398979 0.573924 0.849362 1.281752 1.951003 3.098374
2025-04-06 0.258260 0.378860 0.556539 0.843424 1.306637 2.045911 3.357946
2025-04-13 0.233969 0.349126 0.522154 0.807641 1.279932 2.054017 3.470031
2025-04-20 0.223009 0.338871 0.516651 0.816874 1.326735 2.186875 3.813186
2025-04-27 0.213321 0.329785 0.512092 0.826876 1.375102 2.326139 4.183115
2025-05-04 0.203019 0.319236 0.504780 0.832300 1.417226 2.460750 4.565672
2025-05-11 0.193100 0.308619 0.496578 0.835497 1.455719 2.592849 4.961031
2025-05-18 0.186118 0.302294 0.494912 0.849684 1.514979 2.768798 5.466043
2025-05-25 0.173841 0.286165 0.475338 0.830011 1.508931 2.818550 5.714621
2025-06-01 0.168364 0.281311 0.474890 0.845116 1.570370 3.006641 6.283985
2025-06-08 0.159588 0.270102 0.462396 0.836573 1.584487 3.100172 6.655760
2025-06-15 0.153881 0.263943 0.458484 0.843917 1.630770 3.264533 7.211103
2025-06-22 0.145852 0.253096 0.445274 0.832085 1.636547 3.343065 7.574161
2025-06-29 0.139234 0.244426 0.435522 0.826282 1.654259 3.449067 8.018266
2025-07-06 0.129266 0.228998 0.412134 0.791311 1.606688 3.404807 8.080038
2025-07-13 0.125543 0.225051 0.410357 0.800335 1.655352 3.584095 8.741216